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Tuesday, June 12, 2007 | Reason : In the News | print version Print | Comments |

Document Majority of Republicans Doubt Theory of Evolution

by Frank Newport, Gallup News Service

Reposted from:
http://www.galluppoll.com/content/default.aspx?ci=27847

More Americans accept theory of creationism than evolution

GALLUP NEWS SERVICE

PRINCETON, NJ -- The majority of Republicans in the United States do not believe the theory of evolution is true and do not believe that humans evolved over millions of years from less advanced forms of life. This suggests that when three Republican presidential candidates at a May debate stated they did not believe in evolution, they were generally in sync with the bulk of the rank-and-file Republicans whose nomination they are seeking to obtain.

Independents and Democrats are more likely than Republicans to believe in the theory of evolution. But even among non-Republicans there appears to be a significant minority who doubt that evolution adequately explains where humans came from.

The data from several recent Gallup studies suggest that Americans' religious behavior is highly correlated with beliefs about evolution. Those who attend church frequently are much less likely to believe in evolution than are those who seldom or never attend. That Republicans tend to be frequent churchgoers helps explain their doubts about evolution.

The data indicate some seeming confusion on the part of Americans on this issue. About a quarter of Americans say they believe both in evolution's explanation that humans evolved over millions of years and in the creationist explanation that humans were created as is about 10,000 years ago.

Broad Patterns of Belief in Evolution

The theory of evolution as an explanation for the origin and development of life has been controversial for centuries, and, in particular, since the 1859 publication of Charles Darwin's famous The Origin of Species. Although many scientists accept evolution as the best theoretical explanation for diversity in forms of life on Earth, the issue of its validity has risen again as an important issue in the current 2008 presidential campaign. Two recent Republican debates have included questions to the candidates about evolution. Three candidates -- Sam Brownback, Mike Huckabee, and Tom Tancredo -- indicated in response to a question during the May 3 debate that they did not believe in the theory of evolution, although they have attempted to clarify their positions in the weeks since.

Several recent Gallup Polls conducted in May and June indicate that a significant number of Americans have doubts about the theory of evolution.  

One such question was included in a May Gallup Panel survey:

Now thinking about how human beings came to exist on Earth, do you, personally, believe in evolution, or not?

Yes, believe
in
evolution

No, do
not

No
opinion

2007 May 21-24

49

48

2

It is important to note that this question included a specific reference to "thinking about how human beings came to exist on Earth . . ." that oriented the respondents toward an explicit consideration of the implication of evolution for man's origin. Results may have been different without this introductory phrase.

With that said, Americans' responses to this question are essentially split down the middle. About half say they do believe in evolution and about half say they do not.

A second question included in a June 1-3 USA Today/Gallup poll asked about evolution side by side with a similar question about creationism:

Next, we'd like to ask about your views on two different explanations for the origin and development of life on earth. Do you think -- [ITEMS ROTATED] -- is -- [ROTATED: definitely true, probably true, probably false, (or) definitely false]?

A. Evolution, that is, the idea that human beings developed over millions of years from less advanced forms of life

Definite-
ly true

Probably
true

Probably
false

Definite-
ly false

No
opinion

Total
true

Total
false

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007 Jun 1-3

18%

35

16

28

3

53

44

B. Creationism, that is, the idea that God created human beings pretty much in their present form at one time within the last 10,000 years

Definite-
ly true

Probably
true

Probably
false

Definite-
ly false

No
opinion

Total
true

Total
false

2007 Jun 1-3

39%

27

16

15

3

66

31

These results are similar to those from the question asked in May. A little more than half of Americans say evolution -- as defined in this question wording -- is definitely or probably true. Forty-four percent say that it is probably or definitely false.  

In contrast, even more Americans, two-thirds, say the theory of creationism is definitely or probably true.

A separate Gallup Poll trend question -- also asked in May -- gave Americans three choices about human beings' origins. Responses to this question found that 43% of Americans choose the alternative closest to the creationist perspective, that "God created human beings pretty much in their present form at one time within the last 10,000 years or so." A substantial 38% say human beings evolved, but with God guiding the process. Another 14% favored an interpretation of evolution arguing that God had no part in the process, leaving a total of 52% who say humans evolved with or without God's direction.

Which of the following statements comes closest to your views on the origin and development of human beings -- [ROTATE 1-3/3-1: 1) Human beings have developed over millions of years from less advanced forms of life, but God guided this process, 2) Human beings have developed over millions of years from less advanced forms of life, but God had no part in this process, 3) God created human beings pretty much in their present form at one time within the last 10,000 years or so]?

Man developed,
with God guiding

Man developed,
but God had no part
in process

God created
man in
present form

Other/
No
opinion

%

%

%

%

2007 May 10-13

38

14

43

4


 

 

 

 

2006 May 8-11

36

13

46

5

2004 Nov 7-10

38

13

45

4

2001 Feb 19-21

37

12

45

5

1999 Aug 24-26

40

9

47

4

1997 Nov 6-9

39

10

44

7

1993 Jun 23-26

35

11

47

7


1982 Jan

38

9

44

9

To summarize the results of these three questions about evolution and human origins:

  • Across the three question wordings, the data show consistently that about half of Americans agree with the theory of evolution, believe that the theory of evolution is probably or definitely true, or believe that humans developed over million of years with or without God's guidance.
  • Belief in the idea that humans were created pretty much as is 10,000 years ago is somewhat more dependent on the way in which this concept is measured. A little more than 4 out of 10 Americans -- when presented with three alternatives -- say they believe that God created humans in their present form 10,000 years ago. At the same time, two-thirds of Americans in a stand-alone question say they believe in the theory of "creationism" -- defined as the idea that humans were created in their present form 10,000 years ago.

It might seem contradictory to believe that humans were created in their present form at one time within the past 10,000 years and at the same time believe that humans developed over millions of years from less advanced forms of life. But, based on an analysis of the two side-by-side questions asked this month about evolution and creationism, it appears that a substantial number of Americans hold these conflicting views.

View of Evolution and View of Creationism
Numbers Represent % of Total Sample


View of Creationism


Definitely
true

Probably
true

Probably
false

Definitely
false

%

%

%

%

View of Evolution

Definitely true

3

1

2

11

Probably true

5

14

12

3

Probably false

6

8

1

1

Definitely false

24

3

*

1

* Less than 0.5%

These results show that:

  • 24% of Americans believe that both the theory of evolution and the theory of creationism are probably or definitely true
  • 41% believe that creationism is true, and that evolution is false
  • 28% believe that evolution is true, but that creationism is false
  • 3% either believe that both are false or have no opinion about at least one of the theories

Without further research, it's not possible to determine the exact thinking process of those who agreed that both the theory of evolution and creationism are true. It may be, however, that some respondents were seeking a way to express their views that evolution may have been initiated by or guided by God, and told the interviewer that they agreed with both evolution and creationism in an effort to express this more complex attitude.

Importance of Religion

It is important to remember that all three questions in this analysis included wording that explicitly focused the respondents on the origin of human beings.

This wording may have made Americans think about the implications of the theory of evolution in terms of humans being special creatures as reflected in religious teachings and in particular in the Judeo-Christian story of human origins as related in the book of Genesis. USA Today recently quoted Christian conservative and former presidential candidate Gary Bauer as saying: "Most of us don't think that we're just apes with trousers."

Thus, it is not surprising to find that many of those who do not believe in the theory of evolution justify that belief with explicitly religious explanations: 

(Asked of those who do not believe in evolution) What is the most important reason why you would say you do not believe in evolution? [OPEN-ENDED]      

 

2007 May 21-24

%

I believe in Jesus Christ

19

I believe in the almighty God, creator of Heaven and Earth

16

Due to my religion and faith

16

Not enough scientific evidence to prove otherwise

14

I believe in what I read in the Bible

12

I'm a Christian

9

I don't believe humans come from beasts/monkeys

3

 

Other

5

No reason in particular

2

No opinion

3


The majority of these responses are clearly religious in nature. It is fascinating to note that some Americans simply justified their objection to evolution by statements of general faith and belief. Although the New Testament does not include many explicit references to the origin of humans in the words of Jesus, 19% of Americans state that they do not believe in evolution because they believe in Jesus Christ. Other religious justifications focus on statements of belief in God, general faith concerns, references to the Bible, and the statement that "I'm a Christian." A relatively small number of this group justify their disbelief of evolution by saying more specifically that they do not believe that there is enough scientific evidence to prove the theory and/or that they simply do not believe that humans come from beasts or monkeys.

The graph shows the relationship between church attendance and response to the straightforward question of belief in evolution.

The group of Americans who attend church weekly -- about 40% in this sample -- are strongly likely to reject the theory of evolution. The group of Americans who attend church seldom or never -- also about 40% -- have the mirror image opinion and are strongly likely to accept the theory of evolution.

Republicans Most Likely to Reject Evolution

As noted previously, belief in evolution has been injected into the political debate already this year, with much attention given to the fact three Republican presidential candidates answered a debate question by saying that they did not believe in evolution.

It appears that these candidates are, in some ways, "preaching to the choir" in terms of addressing their own party's constituents -- the group that matters when it comes to the GOP primaries. Republicans are much more likely to be religious and attend church than independents or Democrats in general. Therefore, it comes as no great surprise to find that Republicans are also significantly more likely not to believe in evolution than are independents and Democrats. 

Bottom Line

The data in this analysis were measured in the context of questions about the origin and development of human beings. It is apparent that many Americans simply do not like the idea that humans evolved from lower forms of life. This appears to be substantially based on a belief in the story of creation as outlined in the Bible -- that God created humans in a process that, taking the Bible literally, occurred about 10,000 years ago.

Americans who say they do not believe in the theory of evolution are highly likely to justify this belief by reference to religion, Jesus Christ, or the Bible. Furthermore, there is a strong correlation between high levels of personal religiosity and doubts about evolution.

Being religious in America today is strongly related to partisanship, with more religious Americans in general much more likely to be Republicans than to be independents or Democrats. This relationship helps explain the finding that Republicans are significantly more likely than independents or Democrats to say they do not believe in evolution. When three Republican presidential candidates said in a May debate that they did not believe in evolution, the current analysis suggests that many Republicans across the country no doubt agreed.

Survey Methods

These results are based on telephone interviews with a randomly selected national sample of 1,007 adults, aged 18 and older, conducted June 1-3, 2007. For results based on this sample, one can say with 95% confidence that the maximum error attributable to sampling and other random effects is ±3 percentage points.

For results based on the sample of 203 Catholics, the maximum margin of sampling error is ±8 percentage points.

For results based on the sample of 804 non-Catholics, the maximum margin of sampling error is ±4 percentage points.

In addition to sampling error, question wording and practical difficulties in conducting surveys can introduce error or bias into the findings of public opinion polls.

Comments 1 - 19 of 19 |

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1. Comment #49502 by John P on June 12, 2007 at 7:18 am

 avatar[EDIT]Jumped back to close tags

Can you say Indoctrination?

Other Comments by John P

2. Comment #49508 by Fezik on June 12, 2007 at 7:52 am

"The theory of evolution as an explanation for the origin and development of life has been controversial for centuries, and, in particular, since the 1859 publication of Charles Darwin's famous The Origin of Species."

How could the theory of evolution have been controversial before it came to be, exactly?

Other Comments by Fezik

3. Comment #49509 by The Spaghetti Monster on June 12, 2007 at 7:59 am

What does evolution have to do with how man came to exist on earth?

Furthermore, is there no doubt associated with evolution…? If not, why has the theory not been declared a law by the scientific community? Now before you get all gunchy on me… I do know the theory and the assumptions it makes. Evolution is our best explanation for diverse life on this planet… Yeah, so what?

It does not address initial cause and offers no explanation of such. Again, to write a headline that claims republicans (in an obvious attempt to marginalize them) have doubt in evolution is flat out stupid. I say, who the hell doesn't have 'any' doubt regarding the theory.

Choose your words more carefully….. Lest you be labeled a bona fide moron.

Other Comments by The Spaghetti Monster

4. Comment #49513 by toomanytribbles on June 12, 2007 at 8:14 am

 avatareverybody who's weary of having to again explain what the word 'theory' means in science, just raise your hands.

Other Comments by toomanytribbles

5. Comment #49517 by GodlessHeathen on June 12, 2007 at 8:40 am

 avatarClosing HTML tags.

Yeah, I'm rather tired of explaining how the word "theory" is used in science, too. Tired of people thinking evolution somehow includes the origin of life (it's origin of species in the title, folks. Please!)

Also tired of the same old non-arguments that are trotted out every time.

Other Comments by GodlessHeathen

6. Comment #49520 by Major Bloodnok on June 12, 2007 at 8:58 am

 avatarDon't forget "tired of explaining that 'Law' doesn't just mean 'a better Theory', but is a completely different concept".

Other Comments by Major Bloodnok

7. Comment #49522 by Fire1974 on June 12, 2007 at 9:00 am

Hand Raised.
There is an excellent correlation between lack of understanding the theory of evolution and doubting it. All the 'reasons' for doubting come from a perspective of ignorance. The believers relish in their ignorance because it allows them the posibility of faith. The two are inseparable. Hence, when one doesn't understand how heredity came to be on this planet, they assume 'God did it' and their faith allows them to have confidence in this because that's what the 'virtue' of faith is. You get to assume something as a result of your ignorance on the topic and think youself wise and Pascalistically prudent for doing so.

Other Comments by Fire1974

8. Comment #49523 by jonecc on June 12, 2007 at 9:02 am

The poll indicates that a majority of Republican voters don't just doubt the theory of evolution in a philosophical, theoretical kind of a way, but actively assert a belief in Biblical creation. Have we marginalised them, as The Spaghetti Monster suggests, or have they marginalised themselves?

Other Comments by jonecc

9. Comment #49524 by DavidMcC on June 12, 2007 at 9:05 am

 avatarOnly 14% of Americans accept unguided evolution as the process by which humanity came to exist. Very sad.
__________

Fezik, the concept of evolution existed before Darwin published his famous book. I suspect that he just made it more controversial, by taking it to its logical conclusion.

Other Comments by DavidMcC

10. Comment #49525 by jonecc on June 12, 2007 at 9:06 am

Also, a "bona fide" moron would be someone who acted moronically in good faith. Not someone who believed without evidence to a high standard, but someone who was trustworthy - the phrase is Classical Latin, and predates Christianity. I'm not sure what Spag Bol meant, but I don't think it was that.

Other Comments by jonecc

11. Comment #49527 by CJ22 on June 12, 2007 at 9:20 am

 avatarIt seems to me that highly republican, highly religious people are essentially 'Un-American', in a non-pejorative sense, given the fact that the nation was founded on 'liberal democratic' principles. Republicans aren't liberals, and right-wing christians aren't democratic. You'd best keep an eye on them buggers.

Other Comments by CJ22

12. Comment #49539 by CJ on June 12, 2007 at 10:25 am

 avatarThere are lies, damned lies and statistics.

The chart that correlates the belief in evolution to church attendance looks to me like a classic mis-juxtaposition of two variables. There is a third factor related to both church attendance and belief in evolution that is not shown but is related to both. What I would like to have seen is the level and nature of the education and specifically the scientific education of the respondents and factored this into the equation.

Why is the chart a problem? Because, in my opinion, it fails to explain what is really happening. If you take the chart at face value if you stopped people attending church they would start to believe in evolution, conversely if you make people go to church they would stop believing in evolution.

While I like the results I really don't think they are much more than numbers for news sound-bite production.

Politicians use statistics in the same way a drunk uses a lamp post, for support rather than illumination.

Other Comments by CJ

13. Comment #49541 by konquererz on June 12, 2007 at 10:32 am

 avatar
everybody who's weary of having to again explain what the word 'theory' means in science, just raise your hands.


I just raised both hands for those of you who couldn't see me.

I say, who the hell doesn't have 'any' doubt regarding the theory.


Um, anyone who really studies it, or pays attention in school, or simply reads a well presented book. Yeah, pretty much all of the intellectual community is lacking 'any' doubt about the theory.

Choose your words more carefully….. Lest you be labeled a bona fide moron.

Word

But what does this article tell us? It is yet more evidence for evolution! Republicans are very obviously the last link in the evolutionary chain that led to current intelligent human beings! LOL No offense to republicans on the board, you know that chit was funny!

Other Comments by konquererz

14. Comment #49553 by Logicel on June 12, 2007 at 11:22 am

 avatarSpagettio's wrote: What does evolution have to do with how man came to exist on earth?
_______

The neutered one can chow down on these answers:

http://www.asktheatheists.com/questions/38_why_do_atheists_not_understand_since_evolution_does_not_explain_how_life_started_that_belief_in_evolution_cant_replace_belief_in_god

Other Comments by Logicel

15. Comment #49593 by Ivan The Not So Bad on June 12, 2007 at 1:26 pm

 avatarIf anyone pulls the "evolution is only a theory" argument on me, I always ask them if they would like to go and test the "theory of gravity" by stepping off a tall building.

If only they would take up the challenge.......

Other Comments by Ivan The Not So Bad

16. Comment #49644 by ignored_ethos2 on June 12, 2007 at 5:26 pm

 avatar"If anyone pulls the "evolution is only a theory" argument on me, I always ask them if they would like to go and test the "theory of gravity" by stepping off a tall building."

I have had the occasion of having this argument and I can tell you that you would not get very far before the theist states that it should be the "law of gravity". I know, I know but apparently many theists don't.

And in saying so, they inadvertently make a great argument for more effective science education programs in America. However, at this point, what's an honest atheist supposed to do?

I hate to admit it but I really don't argue with creationists/xians or much of anyone anymore.

Once upon a time, perhaps, but I am just about fed up with repeating myself.

I'm thinking of making flashcards and custom t-shirts to make it easier.

Other Comments by ignored_ethos2

17. Comment #49978 by flobear on June 14, 2007 at 10:45 am

 avatarI'm 84% sure that this article is definitely interesting and 78% sure that it's definitely not.

Other Comments by flobear

18. Comment #50118 by phasmagigas on June 15, 2007 at 6:21 am

 avatarso 19% of americans dont believe in evolution because they believe in jesus christ, hmmm, I wonder if the questioners give out hostess cake bars to those who give that answer, its quite likely that they really like those too.

Other Comments by phasmagigas

19. Comment #50698 by Keinen_Gott on June 19, 2007 at 1:44 pm

I am tired of reading reports like this! I am an American and it makes me sad to hear how uneducated my country is.

Other Comments by Keinen_Gott
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