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So far, Biden’s biggest advantage is the larger portion of the black vote going to him, at this point.  They know him, trust him, and know he was understudy to Barrack Obama.  However, at this point in the ’07 campaign (2 mos before Iowa) Clinton had the black vote, Barrack had hardly any.

OTOH unless Buttgieg is suddenly struck with the power of the Holy Spirit, there is not going to be another Candidate of the calibre of Obama, any time soon.

MAYBE Biden is the best person to take on T rump in the general.  Maybe not.  On the plus side, he is a good man and a rational man. (How refreshing that would be.)  On the down side, he is old. If I am already questioning how he will do with 1 term, I imagine I would question a 2nd term in his 80’s.  But who knows?  Also on the down side, he seems to have decided that the activist part of the party has wrongly estimated that the overall constituency’s political aspirations has moved to the left.    I tend to believe that Biden is wrong about that.  Also he recently took up an anti marijuana position.   So I wonder about his actual judgment.

I think it is time for the younger generation.  I am tired of old white men and billionaires as presidential prospects.

We can have more material for speculation about where things stand when Iowa caucuses.  I think Mayor Pete has a good chance of winning Iowa.  If he could also do well in New Hampshire, and parley those into convincing the black vote to consider him, then he could be on his way (to a big time struggle, that he would have a shot at winning.)

And Bernie seems to be hanging in the race. Warren of course, still moving, but with a wee falter for the moment. But there are other good candidates and other fascinating candidates and other rich candidates but until the actual primaries begin, none of them are any closer than any other to the nomination.